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  • Moustafa Ahmed
    EUR/USD: Dollar Gains Ground Against Euro as Global Markets Enter Jittery September
    Global stocks sold off amid slowdown fears, but forex markets remained relatively stable as major currencies held their ground. • The EUR/USD pair dipped on Tuesday but rebounded on Wednesday after a wave of selling swept through global markets. The selloff began in the U.S., where significant declines in America’s largest companies rippled through to Japan, leading to a 4% drop in the broad-based Nikkei. Despite the turbulence in equity markets, currency trading remained stable, with no major disruptions. • On Tuesday, the euro-dollar exchange rate fell by 0.2% to $1.1026 but recovered to trade above $1.1050 early Wednesday. Since bottoming out at $1.06 in April, the pair has been in an upward trending channel, peaking at a one-year high of $1.12 in late August, marking a 6% rise. The prospect of lower U.S. interest rates has dampened demand for the dollar, as a lower-rate environment reduces its yield appeal. • Looking ahead, traders are preparing for increased volatility this week with the release of the monthly jobs report. The nonfarm payrolls report for August, due on Friday, is expected to show 164,000 new jobs added to the economy. This figure will likely influence the pace of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts, with some expecting a 25bps reduction, while others anticipate a larger 50bps cut.
    Global stocks sold off amid slowdown fears, but fo
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  • Moustafa Ahmed
    BTC/USD: Bitcoin Erases Monthly Gain in Sharp Dive Below $60,000. Ether Sinks 10%.
    The boost from Jay Powell’s rate-cut message has faded, leading to a retreat in the crypto market. Bitcoin is down 9% for August. • Bitcoin prices (BTCUSD) fell below $60,000 late Tuesday, down from a session high of $63,000, and continued to trade below that level early Wednesday. The drop appears to be driven by profit-taking following recent positive comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell. Last week, Powell indicated at the Jackson Hole forum that interest rate cuts are expected in September. Bitcoin’s price is becoming increasingly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations. • With this recent decline, Bitcoin has deepened its monthly losses. The leading digital asset began August trading at $65,000 per coin. Currently, traders are willing to pay around $59,000 for a single coin, marking a 9% decline for the month with just three trading days left. Since reaching a record high of over $73,000 in March, Bitcoin has experienced a seesaw pattern, alternating between monthly gains and losses. • Ethereum (ETHUSD), the second-largest cryptocurrency, is faring even worse. Its price dropped more than 10% on Tuesday, falling below $2,500 from an opening level of nearly $2,700. Ether has been hit harder than Bitcoin in the longer term, on track for its third consecutive losing month, with a total loss of 36%. This is despite the launch of nine spot Ether exchange-traded funds, which have yet to turn a net profit.
    The boost from Jay Powell’s rate-cut message has f
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  • Moustafa Ahmed
    GBP/USD: Sterling Surges Beyond $1.31 in Powerful 7-Day Rally as Dollar Wobbles
    Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole will be crucial in determining whether the pound’s rally continues, with any surprises potentially reshuffling the forex landscape. • The GBP/USD pair extended its bullish streak early Friday, reaching a new 2024 high of $1.3130. The powerful rally is now in its seventh consecutive day, but significant tests lie ahead for the sterling’s dominance. Jay Powell, Chair of the US Federal Reserve, is set to discuss interest rates and provide insights into the number of rate cuts investors can anticipate before the year’s end. His speech is scheduled for Friday morning at the Jackson Hole symposium. • With this in mind, expect heightened volatility not only in the pound-dollar pair but across the forex market and global financial markets more broadly. If Powell delivers what the markets hope to hear — possibly even hinting at a larger 50bps rate cut at the September meeting, instead of the anticipated 25bps cut — the US dollar could find itself under pressure. Lower rates typically weaken the local currency as they reduce the yield on deposits. • In other currency movements, the euro fell on Thursday but was attempting to recover early Friday. The EUR/USD pair advanced to around $1.1130 in the initial trades today. However, traders remained cautious as they awaited Powell’s potentially market-moving speech. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair remained flat for the week, trading near 146.00 as today’s session began.
    Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s speech at Jacks
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